Author Archives: David Hurrell

About David Hurrell

Intelligence Analyst @ WorldAware. Keeping an eye on the Middle East and North Africa. Occasional, unedited, blogger. Views and ramblings my own. Please get in touch using the contact page. Twitter @geopolrisk

Forecasting Political Instability

What signals indicate the onset of severe political instability, the worst-case scenario being state-collapse or civil war, with enough lead-time to take preventative action? This question was asked at the end of the Cold War leading to the creation of … Continue reading

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